Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 4.060940 4.366160 4.692968 5.070598 5.497048 5.966226 6.524938
2025-05-11 3.546051 3.968275 4.449933 5.046781 5.776199 6.651898 7.803972
2025-05-18 3.211001 3.687562 4.254398 4.991309 5.944425 7.166586 8.908124
2025-05-25 2.930574 3.427391 4.036194 4.856011 5.962883 7.457708 9.732975
2025-06-01 2.726895 3.236990 3.877626 4.766292 6.011535 7.772888 10.623511
2025-06-08 2.597634 3.126648 3.806609 4.777075 6.187500 8.278167 11.887895
2025-06-15 2.508815 3.059529 3.783148 4.844830 6.444707 8.932472 13.534687
2025-06-22 2.352616 2.891809 3.609844 4.681429 6.333399 8.982628 14.114916
2025-06-29 2.231408 2.763720 3.481818 4.571461 6.289548 9.131941 14.909077
2025-07-06 2.129849 2.656534 3.375641 4.484002 6.269539 9.314254 15.807274
2025-07-13 2.058983 2.587703 3.319074 4.465830 6.357894 9.696983 17.230802
2025-07-20 2.024499 2.567416 3.330242 4.551394 6.626336 10.450199 19.741041
2025-07-27 1.984814 2.540578 3.334191 4.632635 6.909501 11.310471 22.961370
2025-08-03 1.921539 2.477214 3.280688 4.617908 7.022372 11.855053 25.629302
2025-08-10 1.855141 2.405963 3.210852 4.570015 7.067431 12.262907 28.115116
2025-08-17 1.776873 2.313809 3.104043 4.451800 6.965689 12.324139 29.509695
2025-08-24 1.713468 2.241109 3.023758 4.373255 6.932679 12.539917 31.601223
2025-08-31 1.674526 2.203205 2.995711 4.382701 7.074316 13.203049 35.899167
2025-09-07 1.649047 2.184296 2.996335 4.442020 7.323682 14.195270 42.570437
2025-09-14 1.582090 2.099826 2.888136 4.298862 7.133986 13.992681 43.339426
2025-09-21 1.528557 2.034259 2.807986 4.202324 7.035866 14.027505 45.479264
2025-09-28 1.482064 1.978011 2.740716 4.125433 6.973130 14.151768 48.308276
2025-10-05 1.450319 1.943499 2.707512 4.109445 7.042631 14.673218 54.249636